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四川九洲:四川九州电子科技股份有限公司拟收购四川九州电器集团有限责任公司持有的成都九州电子信息系统股份有限公司67.76%股权及部分少数股东股权项目资产评估说明2014-05-30  

						           67.76%




[2014]   350
                                   67.76%                                   




                                            ............................................ 3

                                                         .............................. 4

                               ........................................................ 5

                            ........................................................... 5

                        ............................................................... 6

                         .............................................................11

                       ...............................................................11

                           .......................................................... 18

                       .............................................................. 50

                         ............................................................ 53

...................................................................................... 53

...................................................................................... 54

                                   .................................................. 57

                               ...................................................... 63

           .......................................................................... 75

                     ................................................................ 89

...................................................................................... 89

       .............................................................................. 92
67.76%   




            4
                                67.76%                    




     (    )



“                 ”
                                   315,385,226.59
139,825,615.71          175,559,610.88
233,265,996.70                82,119,229.89
130,395,615.71          9,430,000.00




                                                          2014
3        31




     (    )
                               7,844.28
          24.87%


     1                                              765


                                                             5
                       67.76%                

    A
    2


    3                           2006
                                       765


    4


    (   )


                      RFID




    (   )




    (   )



                                                2014
4       20   4   30



                                                6
          67.76%   

(     )

1




2




(1)




(2)




                      7
      67.76%   




(3)




                  8
67.76%   




            9
67.76%   




            10
        67.76%   




(   )




(   )

1


2




3
4



(   )

1




                    11
                                         67.76%              




    2

        1
                22,983,294.36                 2,990,210.87
12,138,127.47                    7,854,956.02




                 2,990,210.87




                      12,138,127.47




                          7,854,956.02
        2

                                                                12
                                                67.76%                 

                       145,928,163.15                          3,687,950.68
               142,240,212.47




           0                                1
           1.5%               1      2
5%                2    3                                               15%
           3                                                50%
                             3,567,543.97




                           118,534,910.82          1.5%         1,778,023.66
1-2                         18,097,732.25           5%            671,728.65
2-3                          4,478,191.00          15%            671,728.65
3                             425,810.10           50%            212,905.05
                                                                3,567,543.97



                       142,360,619.18                     120,406.71
      0.08%
       3
                              13,815,688.77




                                                                          13
                                              67.76%                            




                         13,815,688.77
      4
                           35,817,665.00                                 345,053.56
              35,472,611.44




                                          0                              1
                                          1.5%                1      2
                              5%                   2     3
                   15%                    3
          50%                                           144,502.70




                           4,147,974.00          1.5%                         62,219.61
1-2                        1,393,661.70           5%                          69,683.09
2-3                           30,000.00          15%                           4,500.00
3                             16,200.00          50%                           8,100.00
                                                                             144,502.70



                         35,673,162.30                       200,550.86
      0.57%




                                                                                    14
                                         67.76%              

      5
                18,754,189.66




                        8,211,892.46
847,860.79                7,364,031.67




                      7,364,031.67


                            1,151,467.09                 0
       1,151,467.09




                            1,151,467.09


                      3,109,391.47                1,735,388.52


                                                                 15
                                            67.76%                   

        1,374,002.95




             =                                  1-                           -
         -                          -                     1-             r
 a


 b


 c
 d.              =                                    ;
 e.                                         ;
 f. r


                 r                      0                      50%
             100%
                     2,331,897.61                    957,894.66
69.72%
                                    (                3-9-5     52)




                                                                        16
                                               67.76%                  




                 =                                 1-                          -
            -                            -                  1-             r


      1,071.79        /                                           2.06%
                 9.85%                       11.14%              15%


                 =1,071.79        1-2.06%- 9.85%-11.14%          15%-11.14%
 1-15%          0.5
                = 470.72 (    )
                                         470.72         /
143                  :
      470.72 143 = 67,312.96


                          8,653,189.07




                          8,653,189.07


                            211,498.88


                                                                          17
                                               67.76%                            




                            291,662.86                         80,163.98
    37.90 %


                            19,792,248.30
      1,038,058.64                5.54 %




        (     )

        1

                                                  2
            21,100,000.00                                             1,100,000.00
        20,000,000.00




                                                         %
1                                 2012-09-18            100%     20,000,000.00   20,000,000.00
2                                 2011-08-31          73.33%      1,100,000.00    1,100,000.00
                                                                                 21,100,000.00
                                                                                  1,100,000.00
                                                                                 20,000,000.00




                                                                                     18
                             67.76%   

   2

   1

   (1)



                        16



               2000




   (2)




   2011   5        30
1000
   2011
              16




                                         19
                                                    67.76%                                       

    2012     9    10
1000                                                     2000
          100%




1                                                                2000.00                     100%
                                                                 2000.00                     100%

    (3)




                   2012     12    31       2013     12    31            2014      03    31
                          125,066,612.23           141,464,220.77              134,648,563.87
                           94,144,502.60           100,827,451.97               91,335,833.66
                           30,922,109.63            40,636,768.80               43,312,730.21
                       2012                       2013                     2014
                           79,877,178.03            85,583,802.80               16,734,709.01
                           12,911,400.87            18,124,380.39                 3,181,147.78
                            9,659,652.16            14,669,659.17                 2,675,961.41



    2

    (1)


                                             204             2      6       07


                 150




                                                                                                    20
                                                67.76%                           




      (2)
                                                  (                                 )
                                                                                  500.00


                              110
            40
      2012       10    11
                      5%      25
                                                                                  20%
100
      2013       6    13
      150                                110
            40
                                                      150.00




  1                                                        110.00               73.33%
  2                                                         40.00               26.67%
                                                           150.00                100%

      (3)




                       2012    12   31   2013   12    31       2014   03   31


                                                                                        21
                            67.76%                                   
        2,166,886.21         1,279,090.00             1,098,231.53
             924,246.98      1,160,297.53             1,138,554.60
        1,242,639.23              118,792.47            -40,323.07
      2012                2013                 2014
       1,837,264.00              688,701.80           117,858.06
              32,836.06     -1,104,542.18             -147,329.73
               6,743.70     -1,123,846.76              -159,115.54




3
(1)




(2)




         =



4
(1)


                                                                        22
                                              67.76%                          

                                                        21,100,000.00
           1,100,000.00             20,000,000.00                 176,654,008.32
                 156,654,008.32                 783.27 %



                                %                                                  %


 1                          100%        20,000,000.00        176,654,008.32      783.27


 2                         73.33%        1,100,000.00

                                                             176,654,008.32      737.22
                                                                          -      -100.00
                                                             176,654,008.32      783.27



         (2)




     (     )



     1



                    14,362.27                           78,551,550.75
52,348,375.40

     2

          1
                                                               2006
                                                                          765
               14,362.27

                                                                                  23
               67.76%   

    2




240mm
    3




                           PVC


        UPVC




    4
                  7

    3

    1




    2




                           24
                      67.76%       




    3




4




                    5385.47




    P

A       (       =              -       )

        =              ×(1-       )

        =       +     +        +

R

D

N           (                              )


                                           25
                                             67.76%                    


    5
        1

                                       78,551,550.75              52,348,375.40

                  110,171,225.00               110,171,225.00

31,619,674.25                 40.25%                  57,822,849.60

110.46 %




        2
                                       31,619,674.25                  40.25%




                   57,822,849.60                110.46%



    6

                          A     2        1        2

            1.2

        1




                                                                           26
                                                    67.76%                      


84   102        115          118         806          823            4A             4B

                                   800



     2

                A        2                 4                 1




                                          100#




         PVC




         2006    4       30

                     A       2       1          2                         3.3

     2857.18

     2



                                               2948770

                                                     2011         27096

                                         2055        12      20



                                                                                   27
                                        67.76%                


41.72

         3



    1)

              2014   3      31

             2014


                      2,857.18
                         60.00           /
                         0.75


                     2,057,169.60
                         100%
                     2,057,169.60
                     501,715.55
1                     41,143.39                              ×2%
2                     64,286.55                               ×1.5%
3                     34,223.76                         ×           ×0.2%
4                    115,201.50                             ×5.60%
5                    246,860.35                              ×12%
                     1,555,454.05
                         7.00%
                         0.00%
                     1,099,439.68



    2


                         55-70      /            


                                                    65.00
                                                                 2%


                                                                      28
                                                      67.76%                 




                                  2,857.18
                                    65.00             /
                                    40.97


                                 2,228,600.40
                                    0.98
                                 2,184,028.39
                                 526,579.88
 1                                43,680.57                                ×2%
 2                                64,286.55                                 ×1.5%
 3                                34,223.76                           ×           ×0.2%
 4                               122,305.59                            ×5.60%
 5                               262,083.41                                ×12%
                                 1,657,448.51
                                    7.00%
                                    2.00%
                             27,073,475.22



     2                                            +

                                      1,099,439.68+27,073,475.22
                                   =28172915(             )

         )

     1



2014         3    31


                 11,207,686.92                     7,340,213.63
                   8                   1,845,403.66               1,153,319.31 ;
                       164                    9,362,283.26           6,186,895.32


                                                                                    29
                67.76%   




        2




        3

            1




                            “ ”

“ ”




                             30
                                 67.76%                  




    2




    3




4




        =           ×
    1
1




            =            +         +
            =            +             ×10%+
2


                1            /                  ×100%
3

                                                            31
                                            67.76%                    

                       ×
        3
    1




    2




            =                                        +                   100%
    3
                       ×
    4



    5

        1




                            11,207,686.92                    7,340,214.63

            9,864,297.20                      7,576,097.56

1,343,389.72                11.99%                   235,882.93

3.21%

                   1,845,403.66                      1,153,319.31


                                                                            32
                                               67.76%                         

1,677,101.00                 1,393,488.00                      168,302.66

  9.12%                 240,168.69                       20.82 %

                        9,362,283.26                         6,186,895.32

     8,187,196.20                   6,182,609.56                      1,175,087.06

             12.55%                 4,285.76                  0.07%

 1



 2



 6

         1                   1.8T                            4-6-5        7
     1
                                1.8T AT


                    A313WU                                   89300
                2012     10                                2012      10
                263,943.40                                 205,692.29




             mm :     4870                          mm : 1834
             mm :     1472                          mm : 2803
                kg :     1520                       :4




                                                                                 33
                                                67.76%                   

                  :                                      :
            : 6


                  kw/rpm : 118/4500-6200
                  n.m/rpm       250/1500-4500
              :       0                              ml       :   1798
            : 4                                               :
                                                     :        4          : 9.6
              :                                      :
              :
     2




                                 270,000.00
         270,000.00/1.17= 230,800.00
                                                   10%
                                       300.00
                      = 230,800.00+ 230,800.00×10%+300.00
                  = 254,200.00
     3


                  [1997]456       “                     ”
600000                           89300
                  =(1                   /                     )×100%
                  =(1 89300/600000)×100%=85%


                                                                            34
                                         67.76%                    

                                        85%




A




B
C


D


E




                                                  85%
    4
            =          ×
            = 254,200.00×85%

            = 216,070.00

        2                       4-6-6             152

    1

                                                   RX200- S6



                2014        2                           2014   2



                                                                      35
                                       67.76%   




CPU         Intel          5500

CPU         Xeon E5506

CPU         2.13GHz

      CPU           1

      CPU           2

            45nm

            1MB

            4MB

            QPI 4.8GT/s

CPU                     Gainestown

CPU



              Intel 5500

        1 PCI-E Gen2 x4           mech.x8

2×PCI-E Gen2 x8



            ECC DDR3

            4GB

            2 2GB

                  12

                  192GB


                                                   36
                                                   67.76%             




                       SATA/SAS/SSD

                                      6      2.5

    RAID            RAID 0 1



        2



                                     13500

11538.46

        3

                2014    2                                       0.1



                6

            =                    /                          +            100%

            =6/     0.01+6 ×100%

            =99%

        4

                            ×

                11538.46×99%
                11,423.08

    (   )
                                             4




                                                                          37
                              67.76%        

1
    1                “                ”




            201310182142.X

        2013     5   15




        1




        2                 1



        3                 1



        4                 1




                                               38
                                    67.76%   




                     2.4GHz




     2          “            RFID
”




                RFID



         201310153003.4

         2013   4     27




         1            RFID




                RFID




                             RFID




                                                39
                                       67.76%                             




     2                1                         RFID



LTC1569-7

     3                2                         RFID



                     R2 R3 R7 R8                               C3     R2 R7

     C3                          PIN3           R3                    PIN6

R8                    PIN5               R2      R3                 VCC       R7

R8             C3

     4                  3                       RFID




                                                        10k
                                        128kHz
                                                         R3
          R8    0           f cutoff
                                                1
                                                         10k
                                         128kHz
                                                          R3
          R8    100pF , f cutoff
                                                    4

               CUTOFF

     5                1         4                                     RFID



                              LTC1560-1

     6                1         4                                     RFID



         AD8541

     7                1         4                                     RFID



                                                                              40
                         67.76%        

                                          MMIC

            MAMXSS0012




    RFID




3               “                ”




      201310153120.0

     2013   4   27




                                           41
                           67.76%   



     1




     2    1

         XC0900E-03

     3    1

                  ACPM-7868




“                    ”




                                       42
                                         67.76%               




                 “



4                     “                          ”




        201310195610.7

    2013     5        23




    1




    2                      1

    MCU

    3                      1

                           SPI       /                 GPIO

    4                      1     3



                                                                 43
             67.76%                

                      840~960MHZ




        “


2

    1




                                      44
    67.76%   




2




3




                45
                                        67.76%   




3
                                  “   ”




4
    1


             n
                     Ri
    P   K
             i 1   (1 r ) i

    P ——
    Ri——                    i
    K ——
    n ——
    i ——
    r ——




    2




                                                    46
         67.76%           




                   2013




                  2023
3


    18                    20%




                             47
                                     67.76%                               




        2014   4-12       2015        2016          2017       2018          2019
               3,606.83   5,515.77     6,063.33     6,384.81   7,018.68      7,018.68
               2,238.77   3,318.77     3,648.42     3,826.81   4,206.94      4,206.94
                 54.10       84.94       93.38         98.33     108.79        108.79
                368.98      568.68      601.48        611.66     650.63        650.63
                570.96      917.82     1,025.92     1,077.76   1,085.09      1,085.09
                      -          -             -           -          -             -
                374.02      625.56      694.13        770.25     967.23        967.23
                 56.10       93.83      104.12        115.54     241.81        241.81
                317.92      531.73      590.01        654.71     725.42        725.42

4   K




                                              30%




5
                                 CAPM                                          r


                                                                               48
                                                               67.76%                                   

                   r    rf       (rm     rf )     1      2


                   rf
      rm



       1


       2

      r f rm                 1                                                            2




  6


6,032,800.00



                         2014    4-12           2015          2016          2017          2018          2019
                                  317.92          531.73        590.01        654.71          725.42       725.42
                                       30%             30%           30%           30%           30%           30%
                                   100%                90%           81%           73%           66%           59%
                                   95.38          143.57        143.37        143.38          143.63       128.40
                                  0.1182          0.1182        0.1182        0.1182          0.1182       0.1182
                                       0.05            0.05          0.05          0.05          0.05          0.05
                                  0.1682          0.1682        0.1682        0.1682          0.1682       0.1682
                                  0.8899          0.7618        0.6521        0.5582          0.4779       0.4090
                                   84.88          109.37         93.49         80.03           68.64        52.52


           7
                                              6,032,800.00                         4,759,598.17




       (       )


                                                                                                           49
                                   67.76%   

                          1,157,438.03




              1,157,438.03




(   )

1
                   54,500,000.00




        54,500,000.00

2
                 15,296,117.45




                                               50
                      67.76%   




    15,296,117.45

3
    52,197,589.88




      52,197,589.88

4
    1,824,953.97




    1,824,953.97

5
          2,218,939.95




          2,218,939.95

6
    1,862,618.58




                                  51
                          67.76%   




        1,862,618.58

7
          2,495,395.88




          2,495,395.88

(   )

              9,430,000.00




                 1,414,500.00




                                      52
    67.76%   




1

2



3



4




5




                53
                67.76%   




    DCF

          DCF




1



                            54
                                          67.76%   




2




3




    E       B D                                       1
             E
B
    B       P          Ci
                                                      2
P
            n
                    Ri           Rn
    P
            i 1   (1 r ) i   r (1 r ) n               3
             Ri                 i
             Rn
                  r
                  n

        i

    C i C1            C2                              4

             C1


                                                          55
                                        67.76%              

               C2
               D

2




R=                  +               +            -             5




3
                                                     WACC               r
     r    rd        wd    re   we                                  6
               rd
     rd    ro (1 t )                                               7
r0
t
Wd
                    D
     wd
               (E        D)                                        8
We
                    E
     we
               (E        D)                                        9

re                                                   CAPM

re

                                                                   56
                                                      67.76%       

         re    rf              (rm       rf )
                       e
                                                                       10



rf

rm



 e

                                          D
         e        u   (1 (1 t )             )                          11
                                          E

 u

                           t                                           12
         u
                                 D
                  1   (1       t) i
                                 Ei
 t

     t        34% K       66%        x                                 13
              K                                                  K=1




                                                     2009~2013




                      6                    2014   ~2019
     2019




                                                                        57
     67.76%   




1



2



3

4



5

6

7

8



9

10

11



12

                 58
     67.76%   




13



14




15



16




17

18



19

20




                 59
                        67.76%                                   




              2014          3     31



1




    2012    12    31            2013    12     31        2014     3   31


            23,487,256.51               69,397,912.12           22,983,294.36


                                             20,000.00
           101,715,345.44              130,956,813.99       142,240,212.47
            10,923,219.02                9,673,281.14           13,815,688.77




            24,903,649.00               28,197,131.91           35,472,611.44
            10,852,453.61               15,206,152.35           18,754,189.66




           171,881,923.58              253,451,291.51       233,265,996.70




                                                                       60
                      67.76%                                
2012    12      31        2013    12    31          2014     3   31
        21,100,000.00             20,087,114.48            20,000,000.00


        84,198,722.58             89,665,272.71            89,759,237.67
        23,915,182.00             28,615,040.99            30,070,647.64
        60,283,540.58             61,050,231.72            59,688,590.03


        60,283,540.58             61,050,231.72            59,688,590.03




                                   1,341,409.08             1,273,201.83




             452,787.04            1,009,406.39             1,157,438.03


        81,836,327.62             83,488,161.67            82,119,229.89
       253,718,251.20            336,939,453.18        315,385,226.59




        33,000,000.00             54,500,000.00            54,500,000.00


        12,876,832.14             10,666,522.03            15,296,117.45
        35,895,762.55             70,860,283.62            52,197,589.88
         1,029,418.80             11,741,360.55             1,824,953.97
         3,403,863.85              3,946,293.38             2,218,939.95
         2,370,860.49              3,083,006.33             1,862,618.58




         1,047,791.09              2,284,566.87             2,495,395.88
             500,000.00


        90,124,528.92            157,082,032.78        130,395,615.71




                                             0.00                   0.00




                                                                  61
                           67.76%                               
      2012     12     31       2013      12   31        2014     3     31


                                         9,430,000.00           9,430,000.00
                           -             9,430,000.00           9,430,000.00
               90,124,528.92           166,512,032.78      139,825,615.71


               81,000,000.00            81,000,000.00          81,000,000.00
               62,203,697.89            62,203,697.89          62,203,697.89




                2,039,002.44             3,775,372.25           3,775,372.25
               18,351,021.95            23,448,350.26          28,580,540.74
              163,593,722.28           170,427,420.40      175,559,610.88
              253,718,251.20           336,939,453.18      315,385,226.59



2




    2012                       2013                     2014     1-3

      106,829,191.42                152,315,814.88             36,595,946.29
       58,415,274.09                 85,048,807.06             16,719,247.31
           3,095,942.93               2,644,332.67               481,150.95
           9,295,848.76              14,692,701.97              3,721,953.41
       24,414,577.19                 32,205,819.47              8,200,701.26
           1,525,138.97               2,585,301.19               836,032.06
           1,171,399.68               3,784,235.65               986,877.65


                    0.00              4,955,000.00
           8,911,009.80              16,309,616.87              5,649,983.65
           5,602,915.96               3,170,664.66               187,600.00
                 47.04                 489,734.80                    13,141.71
       14,513,878.72                 18,990,546.73              5,824,441.94
           2,690,230.20               1,626,848.61               692,251.46
       11,823,648.52                 17,363,698.12              5,132,190.48


                                                                        62
                                           67.76%                     



   3

                   2014      3      31



             5,450.00




                                         2009

                        2010~2013

                                 2014                          2014



2013    3                                       0.2%       4

       GDP        3.5%                              2.7%




                                                                         63
                      67.76%   




          3D




2014           2013



       2014

1

        2014

                                  64
                                           67.76%   

                                                       2013



              2014

         “             ”



         “   ”   “        ”




    2

                                     “       ”

                                “    ”




,

         “             ” “         ”



    3 2014




                                                       65
                                           67.76%                        




      2014                                              GDP         7.6%

        2013          0.1                                                3.6%

               7.6%                     8.5%                         GDP

3.7                               GDP      3.8

        GDP      0.1                     2014            GDP

                  7.4%                     7.7%                    GDP

                            0.5

      2013




      2014

        1

                                                    "         "

GDP




       2

                                                                  1979




                                                                            66
         67.76%               

           "       "

3




4 2013




5 2014



                       2014



            2014



6 2014




                                 67
                            67.76%   

1

    IOT Internet of Thing

            RFID




                   RFID




                                        68
                             67.76%                 

                                                             ;



                  ;



                                      RFID(Radio Frequency

Identification)                                     (RFID)

                               20      90



RFID

                                                 Internet

                      RFID




                                                        69
                           67.76%                    




RFID/

        2009              RFID                85.1

               29.3

                                 2012-2013-

   -             -2013    2015

        7500              30%

                      :




   2




                                                        70
                                          67.76%             




                3           35




    2012        6



                                     "       " 2015




      120

                                                   300

                                     3                           120

     2013           5   3    "   "

                                                                2013

4     17                                 2013

            "                                            "

                                                                71
                 67.76%    




3

      2011

      2020




1

    2006     2

                    RFID




                              72
                        67.76%         




                                 100

15                 47




            2.4G




     RFID                                 RFID




                                           73
            67.76%          




2

                     9              6




    RFID




3




     2006            RFID




                               74
             67.76%                  

                      RFID

      RFID




1
                      2009   -2014   3




2




(1)                                      RFID


                                          75
                                          67.76%                                       




(2)                                               RFID
RFID
(3)




         2009           2010          2011          2012          2013          2014     1-3


         1,250.44       1,677.22      7,918.29      6,756.31      8,427.97             2,621.47


              48.00     1,746.40      1,466.43      3,195.18      5,378.49              618.77


         2,032.84       6,823.41      1,062.11       264.45       1,024.54              296.00


3



                                                                                5




                                                                                       2014




       2014      4-12          2015          2016          2017          2018           2019


               10,621.50    14,829.65        16,638.86     18,428.81     20,778.91     20,778.91




                                                                                               76
                                       67.76%                                  

    2014     4-12          2015         2016         2017            2018       2019


             6,961.64       8,661.16    9,898.38     11,312.44   12,924.52      12,924.52




            17,583.14      23,490.81   26,537.24     29,741.25   33,703.43      33,703.43

                                                RFID


                                       RFID




1




     2009           2010        2011       2012          2013          2014    1-3


      987.46        1,123.17    5,142.57   4,100.50      6,099.26             1,063.24


             -       569.65       839.65   1,228.20      1,898.42              316.16


     1,782.24       6,504.15      916.99        214.20      336.27             248.44




2




                                                                                     77
                                                           67.76%                               




                            2014    4-12       2015          2016       2017        2018           2019


                                    7,502.02    9,586.81    10,742.29   11,876.50   13,367.15   13,367.15


                                    3,049.80    3,727.09     4,265.22    4,881.03    5,584.20      5,584.20




                                   10,551.82   13,313.90    15,007.51   16,757.53   18,951.35   18,951.35




    1
                     2009          ~2014           3                                            188.84
          504.03            459.83                 929.58               1,469.27                372.20
         2009       ~2014          3
5.08% 4.74% 4.24% 8.70% 9.65% 10.17%
                                                                                      2014            1-3




    2
                     2009      ~2014           3                                            1,224.79
         1,283.13       1,495.20                       2,441.46                 3,220.58
820.07          2009    ~2014              3
  32.97% 12.06% 13.77% 22.85% 21.14% 22.41%

                                                                                                     78
                                    67.76%                      




2014     1-3


   3
                                  5,400.00
                   2014      5               2000




                           17%                5%
       7%          3%                  2%                          15%
  2018           25%
                             2009            2014     1-3
                   68.44         126.50             190.54      309.59
        264.43   48.12                                          1.84%
1.19% 1.76% 2.90% 1.74% 1.31%                            2013      2014
  1-3




                                                                   79
         67.76%   




127.32




                     80
                        67.76%           




        =           -

        =       +       +        -

    =           /

        =           +                -



                                 1

=           /




                                            81
                              67.76%                  




=       /

    =          /




                       17%

        2008       4

                                        2012   6



                       2012            2013        2014   1-3

        15%



                                                          82
                                          67.76%                              

                                                    2014        -2017          15%

2018          25%




       2014    4-12         2015        2016        2017         2018        2019
              17,953.19     23,984.21   27,030.64   30,234.65    34,196.83          34,196.83
              10,684.06     13,490.22   15,183.83   16,933.85    19,127.67          19,127.67
                   268.46     368.81      416.63      466.94       529.14                529.14
               1,836.81      2,473.87    2,682.62    2,897.70     3,168.54           3,168.54
               2,841.85      3,990.47    4,573.90    5,104.43     5,288.11           5,288.11
                   357.72     518.52      518.52      518.52       518.52                518.52
               1,964.29      3,142.32    3,655.14    4,313.21     5,564.85           5,564.85
               1,739.57      2,843.00    3,317.80    3,935.88     5,138.07           5,138.07
                   262.99     426.45      497.67      590.38      1,284.52           1,284.52
               1,476.58      2,416.55    2,820.13    3,345.50     3,853.55           3,853.55
                   317.48     423.95      423.95      423.95       423.95                423.95
                    20.46      27.28       27.28       27.28        27.28                 27.28
                   304.06     440.74      440.74      440.74       388.89                388.89
              -1,975.48      1,612.75    1,953.76    2,050.05     2,426.79                 0.00
                   337.94     451.23      451.23      451.23       451.23                451.23
               3,756.12      1,244.54    1,307.11    1,736.19     1,815.65           4,242.44




1             rf

                                                                                    83
                            67.76%             

                                                   rf

     rf=3. 94%




1          100902    0902            20   0.0390
2          100903    0903            10   0.0307
3          100905    0905            30   0.0406
4          100907    0907            10   0.0304
5          100911    0911            15   0.0372
6          100912    0912            10   0.0311
7          100916    0916            10   0.0351
8          100920    0920            20   0.0404
9          100923    0923            10   0.0347
10         100925    0925            30   0.0422
11         100927    0927            10   0.0371
12         100930    0930            50   0.0435
13         101002    1002            10   0.0346
14         101003    1003            30   0.0412
15         101007    1007            10   0.0339
16         101009    1009            20   0.0400
17         101012    1012            10   0.0328
18         101014    1014            50   0.0407
19         101018    1018            30   0.0407
20         101019    1019            10   0.0344
21         101023    1023            30   0.0400
22         101024    1024            10   0.0331
23         101026    1026            30   0.0400
24         101029    1029            20   0.0386
25         101031    1031            10   0.0332
26         101034    1034            10   0.0370
27         101037    1037            50   0.0445
28         101040    1040            30   0.0427
29         101041    1041            10   0.0381
30         101102    1102            10   0.0398
31         101105    1105            30   0.0436
32         101108    1108            10   0.0387
33          101110   1110            20   0.0419
34          101112   1112            50   0.0453



                                                   84
                                                 67.76%                  
         35          101115               1115            10        0.0403
         36          101116               1116            30        0.0455
         37          101119               1119            10        0.0397
         38          101123               1123            50        0.0438
         39          101124               1124            10        0.0360
         40          101204               1204            10        0.0354
         41          101206               1206            20        0.0407
         42          101208               1208            50        0.0430
         43          101209               1209            10        0.0339
         44          101212               1212            30        0.0411
         45          101213               1213            30        0.0416
         46          101215               1215            10        0.0342
         47          101218               1218            20        0.0414
         48          101220               1220            50        0.0440
         49          101221               1221            10        0.0358
         50          101305               1305            10        0.0355
         51          101309               1309            20        0.0403
         52          101310               1310            50        0.0428
         53          101311               1311            10        0.0341
         54          101316               1316            20        0.0437
         55          101318               1318            10        0.0412
         56          101319               1319            30        0.0482
         57          101324               1324            50        0.0538
         58          101325               1325            30        0.0511
                                                                    0.0394

    2                          rm



                                     1992 5 21

                  2013 12 31

                                   rm=10.19%
    3         e                                                2011 3        2014
3 150

        x= 1.0374             12                                                    t=

1.0250               11                                                             u=




                                                                               85
                                                         67.76%                   

0.7045                   10                                                               e=

0.7803
      4                        re


                                                                    0.03
  9                                                 re
      re=0.0394+ 0.7803× 0.1019-0.0394                   + 0.0300
          = 0.1182
      5                                                                        2008 4


                2012 6
                                                                                  2012
      2013           2014 1-3                                     15%


2014       -2017         15%             2018                 25%
      6              7              8                             Wd= 0.1123
We= 0.8877
      7                                 rd= 0.0592
      8              r                                       6
            r = rd×wd + re×we
             = 0.0592×0.1123+0.1182×0.8877
             =0.1116

      9



                     2015         2016       2017         2018      2019   2020


                                                                                     86
                                                   67.76%                      
                     0.1116   0.1116     0.1116        0.1108   0.1108               0.1108




                                                  3
            30,994.33



                                  2014    3       31




    1                                                           C1


    C1=0
    2                                                                    C2


    C2=-141.45
                              4
                 :
    C= C1 +C2=-141.45



                                                                              2014        3
   31                                                  20,000,000.00
17,665.40



                                                                                     87
                                 67.76%                

1
                 =                                     +
        (    )
                 = 30,994.33+ 17,665.40 +-141.45
                 = 48,518.28
2
                            D= 5,450.00            1
                     :
E=B-D=48,518.28- 5,450.00=43068.28




                                                           88
                                       67.76%                               




              2014 3 31

                     31,538.52                  53,621.66

22,083.14                70.02 %

                     13,982.56                  13,181.01

801.55                5.73%

                         17,555.96                 40,440.65

  22,884.69                 130.35%


                                                                     2014   3   31




                           B           C             D=C-B             E=D/B×100%

                 1         23,326.60   23,462.50            135.90               0.58




                                                                                89
                                  67.76%                         



                     B            C            D=C-B          E=D/B×100%

            2         8,211.92    30,159.16      21,947.24           267.26

            3                 -            -              -

            4                 -            -              -

            5                 -            -              -

            6         2,000.00    17,665.40      15,665.40           783.27

            7                 -            -              -

            8         5,968.86    11,774.73       5,805.87            97.27

            12                -            -              -

            13                -            -              -

            14                -            -              -

            15                -            -              -

            16                -            -              -

            17           127.32       603.28       475.96            373.83

            22           115.74       115.74           0.00            0.00

            23                -            -              -

            24       31,538.52    53,621.66      22,083.14            70.02

            25       13,039.56    13,039.56               -                 -

            26           943.00       141.45       -801.55           -85.00

            27       13,982.56    13,181.01        -801.55            -5.73

            28       17,555.96    40,440.65      22,884.69           130.35




22,884.69



    1       103.81




                                                                     90
                                      67.76%                          

    2                   15,665.40



    3                                5,782.28




    4               475.96




                        DCF

                                    2014       3   31

     17,555.96                                 43,068.28

25,512.32            145.32%


    1
                                                          43,068.28
                                               40440.65               2627.63
            6.50%
        1




        2


                                                                         91
                         67.76%                




   2




                           43,068.28


67.76%        29183.07




   1                              765
    2948770
                                        0513   -027




   2                              765


                                                  92
             67.76%         

2851482
          DB1300000139054




                               93
                        6




       510700000059847
1994    12     26




                    1
                           259




       510700000047992
1991    11        28




                                 259




       510000000080272 6-5
2000   7     31




                       2
1



                          765




    510109000057444




                      3
     2



                                                           2006     2       28
      3,000.00                                               2,850.00
    95%
    90.00                     3%
                              60.00                 2%
            2006          2        22                     2006          004
         2008         9       20
                                                        [2008]91                           2008
6    30                                  3,000.00                                     3,410.84
                                        3,000.00                                 3,000.00
                                2,638.65                                       5,638.65
                                    5,488.65                                97.34%
          90.00                    1.60%                            60.00                   1.06%
                                                         2008      12       25
     2008                 022
     2011         2       26                                            2010          12        31
                                                             2011       3        17


    2011 15                                                                    2011         3        20
                                                                    2010         12        31


XYZH/2010CDA3023-2                                                          2010           12        31
                                                                    63,176,697.89

                                                    4
56,386,500          1:1                       56,386,500
     6,790,197.89
            2011     8         26                                        2011 56


             2011         8        22
                              8,000,000.00


XYZH/2011CDA3022
                   2011        11         4         2011
                     2011           11         22


                                                                                  2,613,500
                          2                                                  2,613,500.00
                                                     2,613,500.00
                                         67,000,000.00
    2012      4      1                                                  150,000.00
                          30,000.00                                   30,000.00
              30,000.00                                     20,000.00
20,000.00                               20,000.00
       100,000.00                    80,000.00                      20,000.00
        2012         6        27                                          100,000.00


                   2012        7         27      2012        4
                              2012        8         14




                                                     5
              2012      42


                                                                            14,000,000
              1                                       4.2
  14,000,000.00                                                         44,800,000.00
                                                                81,000,000.00
    2013          4      23                                             80,000.00
              50,000.00                                30,000.00
    2013          5      7                                        60,000.00
                                                      80,000.00
                                    150,000.00                            50,000.00
                      100,000.00
    2013          12      18
     50,000.00                                        15,000.00
15,000.00                                  15,000.00
15,000.00                             20,000.00                               30,000.00
                               10,000.00
    2014          3     24                        (               51340119790514****
                        100,000.00                                20,000.00
     (                    51290319770124****                40,000.00
         20,000.00                                    20,000.00
                               30,000.00                          20,000.00
          (                  51290319770124****              10,000.00
                                      30,000.00

                                                             8,100.00


                                             6
 1                                                     54,886,500.00                67.76%
 2                                                         900,000.00                1.11%
 3                                                         600,000.00                0.74%
 4                                                      2,613,500.00                 3.23%
 5    52                                                8,000,000.00                 9.88%
 6                                                      5,000,000.00                 6.17%
 7                                                      4,500,000.00                 5.56%
 8                                                         500,000.00                0.62%
 9                                                      1,800,000.00                 2.22%
10                                                      1,500,000.00                 1.85%
11                                                         700,000.00                0.86%
                                                       81,000,000.00                100.00%


 3




           2012     12   31        2013     12    31            2014     3     31

                  253,718,251.20          336,939,453.18               315,385,226.59
                   90,124,528.92          166,512,032.78               139,825,615.71
                  163,593,722.28          170,427,420.40               175,559,610.88
              2012                     2013                      2014        1-3
                  106,829,191.42          152,315,814.88                36,595,946.29
                   14,513,878.72           18,990,546.73                 5,824,441.94
                   11,823,648.52           17,363,698.12                 5,132,190.48




  4

 1

                              1    1             12        31

 2


                                   7
3




4




5

    1




        8
    2

            33




6



            3



7

    1




        9
    2




8

    1




        10
(    )




11
2




    12
3




    13
    9




3




        1

                 100




        2




            14
                    %           %

 1     1.50             1.50

 1-2   5.00             5.00

 2-3   15.00            15.00

 3     50.00            50.00

  3




10




               15
11




     16
17
12




     18
13

     1



                   2000



     2




     3




         5%   30     3.17%


         5%   10     9.50%

         19
       5%   8   11.875%

       5%   8   11.875%

    3%-5%   5   19.4%-19%

     5%     5   19%

     5%     8   11.875%

4




5




       20
14




     21
15




              1




          3



16




     22
17




 1

 2

     3




         23
     4



 5




18




         24
19




20




21




     25
22




     26
23

     1

         1                    2

                  3



     2




                          1

                      2




             27
24

 1




     2



     3




 4

25




              1




         28
26




27




     29
28




29




     30
30

     1




     2




         31
 5

 1

                                 17%
                                 6%
                                3% 5%
                                 7%
                                 3%
                                 2%


                                 15%



                                       *


                                 15%




2014   4   18

                2014   5   5




                           32
                  67.76%




      315,385,226.59                   139,825,615.71
175,559,610.88                         233,265,996.70
82,119,229.89              130,395,615.71               9,430,000.00




                                       RFID



                                  33
                            2014    3     31




    1



                                               315,385,226.59

          139,825,615.71           175,559,610.88

        233,265,996.70               82,119,229.89

130,395,615.71             9,430,000.00

    2
                                   7,844.28
        24.87%

                              34
     1                          765
     A
     2




     3                   2006
                                765




 3            2014   4    20     2014   4

30

 4




     1



     2




         35
5




                                                                5




                                                                       2014




    2014    4-12       2015        2016        2017        2018        2019
           17,953.19   23,984.21   27,030.64   30,234.65   34,196.83          34,196.83
           10,684.06   13,490.22   15,183.83   16,933.85   19,127.67          19,127.67
             268.46      368.81      416.63      466.94      529.14             529.14
            1,836.81    2,473.87    2,682.62    2,897.70    3,168.54           3,168.54
            2,841.85    3,990.47    4,573.90    5,104.43    5,288.11           5,288.11
             357.72      518.52      518.52      518.52      518.52             518.52
            1,964.29    3,142.32    3,655.14    4,313.21    5,564.85           5,564.85


                              36
    1,739.57    2,843.00   3,317.80   3,935.88   5,138.07   5,138.07
      262.99     426.45     497.67     590.38    1,284.52   1,284.52
    1,476.58    2,416.55   2,820.13   3,345.50   3,853.55   3,853.55
      317.48     423.95     423.95     423.95     423.95     423.95
       20.46      27.28      27.28      27.28      27.28      27.28
      304.06     440.74     440.74     440.74     388.89     388.89
    -1,975.48   1,612.75   1,953.76   2,050.05   2,426.79       0.00
      337.94     451.23     451.23     451.23     451.23     451.23
    3,756.12    1,244.54   1,307.11   1,736.19   1,815.65   4,242.44




1

2

3

4

5

6




                      37
                   67.76%


(   -                       )




        [2014]   350
                              67.76%




                                           ............................................ 1

                                                        .............................. 2

                               ........................................................ 3

                            ........................................................... 3

                         .............................................................. 5

                       ................................................................ 5

                           .......................................................... 12

                       .............................................................. 23

                         ............................................................ 26

...................................................................................... 26

...................................................................................... 27

                                   .................................................. 30

                               ...................................................... 36

           .......................................................................... 46

                     ................................................................ 60

...................................................................................... 60

       .............................................................................. 63
67.76%




         2
                                 67.76%




    (    )




                         134,648,563.87           91,335,833.66
         43,312,730.21                    73,395,710.63
        61,252,853.24             52,735,833.66
38,600,000.00
                                                           2014
3   31




    (    )

                                    1,374.56
         10.21%          (                )




                                                                  3
                                    67.76%




    (           )

                                             3



(           )

                    2014   3   31



(           )
        (             )




                                                 4
        67.76%




(   )




(   )

1


2




3
4



(   )

1




                 5
                                       67.76%




    2

    (1)
                13,733,987.26                     133,176.12
12,200,811.14                     1,400,000.00




                                                133,176.12




    “                      ”


12,200,811.14




                                          1,400,000.00
                       13,733,987.26
    (2)
                          200,000.00




                                                               6
                                    67.76%




                   200,000.00
  3
                   38,405,853.80                     788,164.17
      37,617,689.63




                                                 1
               1.5%                 1        2
        5%               2      3
15%            3                                         50%




 381,336.57




                                                                  7
                                    67.76%


                  20,458,736.98              1.5%             306,881.05
1-2                    371,514.74            5%                  18,575.74
2-3                    372,531.84            15%                 55,879.78


                                                              338,062.87



                 38,024,517.23                      406,827.60
1.08%
  (3)
              6,079,173.30




                   6,079,173.30
  (4)
                 3,681,039.00                               1,223,274.30
        2,457,764.70




                              0.00
                                                        1

                                                                             8
                                               67.76%

                                      1.5%                     1     2
                             5%                  2       3
                     15%              3
50%                                            1,105,359.45




                                  867,900.00            1.5%                    13,018.50
 1-2                              256,819.00            5%                      12,840.95
 3                             2,159,000.00             50%                1,079,500.00


                                                                           1,105,359.45



                             2,575,679.55                          117,914.85
            4.80 %


      (5)
                      13,307,095.74




                           337,057.19                                           0
        337,057.19




                                                                                            9
                                              67.76%




                        337,057.19


                        990,701.45                             0
990,701.4




                =            ×               × 1-                        -

            -           ×           -                 × 1-         ×r

    a



    b



    c

    d.              =                    ÷                ;

    e.                                            ;
    f. r


                    r                         0                    50%

                                                                           10
                                         67.76%

              100%
                      1,122,038.84                         131,337.39
13.26%


                     JZRD-TS01




              =                                       1-                            -
          -                          -                        1-               r
                                                                   JZRD-TS01
              4786.32        /                                            4.01%
                   2.73%                          16.81%                15%


        =4786.32        1-4.01%- 2.73%-16.81% 15%-16.81%                  1-15%
0.5
       = 4,001.09 (      )
                                 4,001.09         /                           219
          :
      4,001.09 219 = 876,238.71


                   11,795,905.83




                                                                               11
                                  67.76%




               11,795,905.83
                     183,431.27




                  211,400.32                    27,969.05
15.25%


             13,307,095.74                 13,466,405.31
159,309.57         1.20%




    (    )

                               4,000,000.00




                               4,029,143.73                 29,143.73

                                                                  12
                                         67.76%

        0.73%

(   )

                          3,290,750.00




                              3,290,750.00

(   )



1



                   2014      3     31


        925,626.54                      438,479.99
          4                      553,679.00          309,991.86 ;
              52                    371,947.54          128,488.13

2




                                                                     13
                67.76%

        3

            1




                         “ ”

“ ”




            2




            3




                            14
                                  67.76%

4




        =           ×
    1
1




            =             +                +
            =             +                     ×10%+


2


                1             /                ×100%
3
                     ×
    3
1




2



                                                         15
                                        67.76%




             =                                     +                  100%
    3
                      ×
    4



    5

        1




                           925,626.54                    438,479.99

     720,919.01                 602,906.00                   204,707.53

        22.12%              164,426.01                  37.50%

                   553,679.00                     309,991.86

511,700.00           456,504.00                        41,979.00

7.58%             146,512.14                 47.26%

                       371,947.54                      128,488.13

  209,219.01 0             146,402.00                    162,728.53

  43.75 %             17,913.87                  13.94 %

    1



    2


                                                                          16
                                                67.76%




6

        1

    1
                         BFR153                                  50003
                    2010        5                              2010       5
                    259,626.00                                 154,520.86




                     188
                                                 LB8
        (ml)        2490                                 (kw) 112
                            (mm)                          5100 1847 1729(mm)
                     2398(Kg)                                     1804(Kg)
                     7(    )
            /                  18.1/16.9(   )              /            953/1100(mm)
                1247/1151                                      3047(mm)
                2                                                 168(km/h)
                11.50                                             -/-
                     4                                            215/70R15
                     1562                                         1608
                                                               GB18352.3-2005
                     20090402


                                                                                   17
                                  67.76%

       2




           250,000.00                                    250,000.00/1.17=
213700
                                           10%
                          300.00
           = 213700+213700×10%+300.00
           = 235,400.00
       3


           [1997]456     “                  ”
600000                  50003
           =(1                /                   )×100%
           =(1 50003/600000)×100%=83%
                                                   92%




   A




   B
   C


   D


                                                                      18
                                67.76%




E




                                         92%
    4
        =         ×
        = 235,400.00×92%

        = 216,568.00

(   )

                            3
1




2

    1




    2
                                   400


                                               19
                   67.76%




                                         319




                2,884




3

1




2




                        =A/R×[1-1/(1+R)N]

    A       (     =                  -              )

        =                   ×(1-

        )



                                               20
                                   67.76%


                   =



    R

    N

    4

                           53,221,907.48                    59,320,200.00

            6,098,292.52             11.46%




    5



    3

        1




        2

                                                                 2011

2   5

                                            2011       10



                                     2012          7



                                                                        21
               67.76%




    3

                2014       3     31




                     2,884.00
                          0.00    /
                          2.77


                26,726,886.35

                           9%

                24,321,466.58
                17,754,670.60
                10,541,528.48
                 7,213,142.12
                 1,216,073.33
                15,892,251.13
                        12.00%         re
                35,681,100.00




(       )
            301,715.77




                                      22
                         67.76%




        301,715.77




(   )

1
          1,400,000.00




        1,400,000.00

2
        22,830,087.50




          22,830,087.50

2
        4,545,739.38



                                  23
                       67.76%




        4,545,739.38

3
              250,573.49




              250,573.49

5
        693,514.59




        693,514.59

6
          23,015,918.70




          23,015,918.70

(   )

1

            35,000,000.00




                                24
                        67.76%




35,000,000.00

    2

                3,600,000.00

         2013                    7




                  540,000.00




                                     25
    67.76%




1

2



3



4




5




6




             26
                67.76%




    DCF

          DCF




1



                         27
                                          67.76%




2




3




    E       B D                                    1
             E
B
    B       P          Ci
                                                   2
P
            n
                    Ri           Rn
    P
            i 1   (1 r ) i   r (1 r ) n            3
             Ri                 i
             Rn
                  r
                  n

        i

    C i C1            C2                           4

             C1


                                                       28
                                        67.76%

               C2
               D

2




R=                  +               +            -          5




3
                                                     WACC           r
     r    rd        wd    re   we                               6
               rd
     rd    ro (1 t )                                            7
r0
t
Wd
                    D
     wd
               (E        D)                                     8
We
                    E
     we
               (E        D)                                     9

re                                                   CAPM

re

                                                                    29
                                                         67.76%

         re    rf                   (rm       rf )
                           e
                                                                                         10



rf

rm



 e

                                               D
         e        u   (1 (1 t )                  )                                     11
                                               E

 u

                           t
         u
                                    Di
               (1     (1       t)
                                    Ei                                                   12
 t

     t        34% K        66%            x                                              13
              K                                                                  K=1




                                                                             2011~2013




                                                     6            2014   ~2019
                                          2019




                                                                                            30
     67.76%




1



2



3

4



5

6

7

8



9

10

11



12

              31
     67.76%




13



14




15



16




17

18



19

20




              32
                   67.76%




             2014          3      31



1




    2012    12   31            2013    12   31        2014    3      31


           27,284,200.26              33,745,044.41          13,733,987.26
                                                                          0.00
            1,799,972.00                115,500.00                200,000.00
           24,706,155.80              29,859,995.42          37,617,689.63
            3,613,000.00                662,455.30            6,079,173.30
                                                                          0.00
                                                                          0.00
            7,327,118.78               2,172,583.58           2,457,764.70
            9,976,853.21              14,795,605.47          13,307,095.74




           74,707,300.05              81,351,184.18          73,395,710.63


                                                              4,000,000.00


            2,735,000.00               2,324,750.00           3,290,750.00


                                                                          33
                67.76%
2012     12   31          2013     12   31          2014     3      31




          813,907.29                925,626.54                   925,626.54
          402,428.89                460,187.91                   487,146.55
          411,478.40                465,438.63                   438,479.99


          411,478.40                465,438.63                   438,479.99




       46,820,553.10              56,867,170.48             53,221,907.48




          392,280.68                455,677.48                   301,715.77


        50,359,312.18             60,113,036.59             61,252,853.24
       125,066,612.23            141,464,220.77            134,648,563.87




         2,000,000.00
                   0.00
         4,841,100.00              5,068,782.00              1,400,000.00
        23,679,364.72             25,518,252.94             22,830,087.50
        15,120,814.00              4,854,874.64              4,545,739.38
          135,219.00               1,121,928.40                  250,573.49
         1,894,789.67              2,711,725.13                  693,514.59
                   0.00
                   0.00
        21,473,215.21             22,951,888.86             23,015,918.70
                   0.00
                   0.00
        69,144,502.60             62,227,451.97             52,735,833.66


        25,000,000.00             35,000,000.00             35,000,000.00




                                             0.00                        0.00
                                   3,600,000.00              3,600,000.00



                                                                         34
                          67.76%
     2012       12   31            2013      12   31        2014     3       31




               25,000,000.00                38,600,000.00           38,600,000.00
               94,144,502.60               100,827,451.97           91,335,833.66


               20,000,000.00                20,000,000.00           20,000,000.00




                1,167,937.66                 2,634,903.58            2,634,903.58
                9,754,171.97                18,001,865.22           20,677,826.63
               30,922,109.63                40,636,768.80           43,312,730.21


              125,066,612.23               141,464,220.77          134,648,563.87



2




    2012                           2013                     2014      1-3

       79,877,178.03                  85,583,802.80                 16,734,709.01
       53,185,554.16                  49,752,871.46                  8,842,789.91
           2,460,020.84                   3,640,688.05                   705,710.61
       2,256,176.84                  2,024,509.45                        447,711.12
       7,653,263.94                  8,780,868.64                    2,886,974.27
           441,175.44                2,998,256.09                        478,233.22
           992,628.74                     253,587.21                     188,728.55




       12,888,358.07                  18,133,021.90                  3,184,561.33
            23,042.80                        2,870.00                             1.45
                  0.00                     11,511.51                        3,415.00
       12,911,400.87                  18,124,380.39                  3,181,147.78
           3,251,748.71                   3,454,721.22                   505,186.37


                                                                                  35
                                               67.76%

                         2012                           2013                             2014   1-3

                                9,659,652.16              14,669,659.17                         2,675,961.41



   3

                  2014           3      31



       3,500.00




                                               2009

                    2010~2013

                                     2014                                          2014



2013     3                                              0.2%                   4

       GDP        3.5%                                         2.7%



                                                               “              ”

                                                         “               ”        “                ”




                                                                                                        36
                            67.76%




             3D



        “             ”




                  “   ”




2014                    2013



       2014

                                     37
                                              67.76%

    1

              2014

                                                            2013



                2014

         “                ”



         “      ”   “        ”




    2

                                        “             ”

                                   “    ”




,

         “                ” “         ”



    3 2014

                                                             38
                                         67.76%




      2014                                              GDP         7.6%

        2013          0.1                                                3.6%

               7.6%                     8.5%                         GDP

3.7                               GDP       3.8

        GDP      0.1                     2014            GDP

                  7.4%                       7.7%                  GDP

                            0.5

      2013




      2014

        1

                                                    "         "

GDP




        2

                                                                  1979

                                                                           39
         67.76%




                  "      "

3




4 2013




5 2014



                             2014



                  2014



6 2014




                                    40
                     67.76%




                               2009

       2008           2%                  4



                                   2011

 853           13%




40% 30% 30%                   6%

              4G




                                              41
                        67.76%

5                  18            0.6%        95%

                   1




    1




    1



    a.                     SoC          TI

        NXP

              TI




    b.




    c.




                                               42
     67.76%




2




a.




b.




3




              IPSAN

                      43
                                       67.76%




     4

     a.

                2010                                             340

5                  25%




     b.                              2013

                                 3                   5                          12

                       147                      85                        223

             2,646                     1                               19.6

           299.1

                                                         2013

30

50-60                        30-40                       10

                       300

                             4                                  IP

          DVR




     2

                                                                                44
                   67.76%




          MPEG-2 H.264 AAC        G7xx AVS




3G




                             24

     10




3



                                             45
                            67.76%

BT build-transfer,   -   BTO build-operate-transfer,       -

-




    BT




    1
                                     2011    -2014     3




    2




                                                               46
                   67.76%




    2011               2012           2013           2014      1-3

    8,145,701.95     47,566,138.77   46,201,093.34     7,838,556.51

                     12,134,265.41    8,310,747.05          842,315.50

                     17,702,191.73   26,610,002.50     8,053,837.00




3




                                                                  47
                                          67.76%

                                                                        ,         5




                    ,




                                                                                      2014




                  2014                                  8838




    2014   4-12           2015            2016            2017                2018            2019

    44,152,104.74       53,493,399.54   59,678,262.28   66,605,308.54       72,336,720.65   78,753,469.96

     2,526,946.50        4,043,114.40    4,851,737.28    5,822,084.74        6,986,501.68    6,986,501.68

    24,973,275.58       35,138,025.91   36,491,175.56   36,489,723.56       36,327,033.56   36,327,033.56




4




1




                                                                                               48
                                                 67.76%




                                    2011              2012               2013            2014     1-3

                                   6,118,415.42     30,782,881.61     25,544,745.61         3,001,709.83

                                                     8,398,372.34       5,703,584.61           268,060.69

                                                    13,679,471.90     18,294,074.19         5,573,019.39




 2




                2014   4-12        2015              2016             2017              2018                2019

                 24,160,539.01   28,760,630.16    32,192,811.29     36,036,854.15   39,171,811.89       42,681,560.12

                  1,429,117.32    2,286,587.71     2,743,905.25      3,292,686.30      3,951,223.57      3,951,223.57

                 17,147,712.09   24,135,452.11    25,417,840.90     25,475,669.01   25,683,766.35       25,683,766.35




 1
                2011      ~2014           3                                                 19.40
 225.62           202.45                  44.77              2011         ~2014            3
                                          2.29% 2.82%                 2.37% 2.68%


2014      1-3



                                                                                                      49
                                            67.76%




    2
                 2011        ~2014     3                                    34.74
    765.33           878.09           288.70              2011     ~2014   3
                                       4.11%         9.58%       10.26%    17.25%




                      2014      1-3




    3
                                            3,500




                                     17%                   5%
    7%                   3%                          2%                        15%
  2020                25%
                                        2011           2012         2013       2014
  1-3                                                  48.89          246.00
364.07       70.57                                                   5.78% 3.08%
4.25% 4.22%                          2012        2014        1-3

                                                                                    50
           67.76%




5,322.19




                    51
                67.76%




    =       -

    =   +          +     -

=       /

    =       +                -




                                 52
                        67.76%

                                 1

    =          /




=       /

    =          /




                       17%

        2008       4

                                 2013   11



                                             53
                                      67.76%




                                 2014            1-3

15%

                2014      -2019                 15%                  2020

25%




      2014   4-12       2015           2016            2017            2018          2019
             7,165.23   9,267.45        10,102.12      10,891.71       11,565.03             12,206.70
             4,273.74   5,518.27         6,035.46       6,480.52        6,880.68              7,231.66
              275.88      356.82           388.96        419.36             445.28             469.99
              190.00      245.65           267.75        288.65             288.65             323.47
              572.33      906.51           948.55        986.51         1,019.85              1,019.85
              162.82      215.25           215.25        215.25             215.25             215.25
             1,690.47   2,024.96         2,246.16       2,501.42        2,715.31              2,946.49
             1,652.24   1,975.84         2,192.62       2,443.69        2,654.02              2,881.80
              245.03      296.38           328.89        366.55             398.10             432.27
             1,407.21   1,679.46         1,863.73       2,077.14        2,255.91              2,449.53
                 1.34          1.93            1.93           1.93            1.93                1.93
             1,159.58   1,546.11         1,546.11        455.49             362.23              82.42
              138.40      182.96           182.96        182.96             182.96             182.96
             -979.21       53.32           141.21        762.17             161.85             273.78
             1160.91     1548.03         1548.03         457.42             364.15              84.35
             2,524.82   1,809.11         1,905.47       1,497.93        2,277.03              2,358.70




                                                                                        54
                             67.76%




1                    rf

                                                    rf

         rf=3. 94%




    1          100902     0902        20   0.0390
    2          100903     0903        10   0.0307
    3          100905     0905        30   0.0406
    4          100907     0907        10   0.0304
    5          100911     0911        15   0.0372
    6          100912     0912        10   0.0311
    7          100916     0916        10   0.0351
    8          100920     0920        20   0.0404
    9          100923     0923        10   0.0347
    10         100925     0925        30   0.0422
    11         100927     0927        10   0.0371
    12         100930     0930        50   0.0435
    13         101002     1002        10   0.0346
    14         101003     1003        30   0.0412
    15         101007     1007        10   0.0339
    16         101009     1009        20   0.0400
    17         101012     1012        10   0.0328
    18         101014     1014        50   0.0407
    19         101018     1018        30   0.0407
    20         101019     1019        10   0.0344
    21         101023     1023        30   0.0400
    22         101024     1024        10   0.0331
    23         101026     1026        30   0.0400
    24         101029     1029        20   0.0386
    25         101031     1031        10   0.0332
    26         101034     1034        10   0.0370
    27         101037     1037        50   0.0445



                                                         55
                                  67.76%
    28      101040            1040         30   0.0427
    29      101041            1041         10   0.0381
    30      101102            1102         10   0.0398
    31      101105            1105         30   0.0436
    32      101108            1108         10   0.0387
    33      101110            1110         20   0.0419
    34      101112            1112         50   0.0453
    35      101115            1115         10   0.0403
    36      101116            1116         30   0.0455
    37      101119            1119         10   0.0397
    38      101123            1123         50   0.0438
    39      101124            1124         10   0.0360
    40      101204            1204         10   0.0354
    41      101206            1206         20   0.0407
    42      101208            1208         50   0.0430
    43      101209            1209         10   0.0339
    44      101212            1212         30   0.0411
    45      101213            1213         30   0.0416
    46      101215            1215         10   0.0342
    47      101218            1218         20   0.0414
    48      101220            1220         50   0.0440
    49      101221            1221         10   0.0358
    50      101305            1305         10   0.0355
    51      101309            1309         20   0.0403
    52      101310            1310         50   0.0428
    53      101311            1311         10   0.0341
    54      101316            1316         20   0.0437
    55      101318            1318         10   0.0412
    56      101319            1319         30   0.0482
    57      101324            1324         50   0.0538
    58      101325            1325         30   0.0511
                                                0.0394

2                    rm



                          1992 5 21

         2013 12 31

                      rm=10.19%


                                                         56
                                                          67.76%

      3      e                                                             2011 3      2014
3 150

          x= 1.0374                 12                                                        t=

1.0250                    11                                                                  u=

0.7045                         10                                                             e=

0.8231
      4                             re


                                                                       0.03
  9                                                   re
      re=0.0394+0.8231× 0.1019-0.0394                         + 0.0300
          =0.1208
      5                                                                             2008 4


                  2013         11
                                                                                         2014
  1-3                                         15%
                                                                          2014 -2019     15%
           2020                     25%
      6               7                  8                             Wd= 0.1654
We=0.8346
      7                                      rd= 0.0615
      8               r                                            6
            r = rd×wd + re×we
             = 0.0615×0.1654+0.1208×0.8346
             = 0.1095

                                                                                          57
                                               67.76%

9



            2015          2016          2017           2018      2019      2020
                 0.1095    0.1095        0.1095         0.1095    0.1095          0.1085




                                                  3
      20,819.40



                                 2014     3       31




1                                                                C1


C1=400.00
2                                                                          C2


C2=-54.00
                          4
             :
C= C1 +C2= 346.00



1

                                                                                    58
                                    67.76%

                                P=20,819.40
                     C= 0                    2


 B=P+C
     =20,819.40+346.00= 21,165.40
 2
                                D=3,500.00       1
                       :
E=B-D= 21,165.40- 3,500.00= 17,665.40




                                                     59
                                  67.76%




    (    )
             13,464.86                          14,162.45
697.59        5.18%
             9,133.58                        8,827.58
306.00        3.35
               4,331.28                           5,334.87
1,003.59        23.17%                     6-1
                     6-1
                              2014    3    31



                                 B                 C    D=C-B       E=D/B×100%
                  1        7,339.57        7,407.98      68.41             0.93
                  2        6,125.29        6,754.47     629.18           10.27
                  3         400.00          402.91           2.91          0.73
                  4               -                 -           -
                  5         329.08          329.08              -               -
                  6               -                 -           -
                  7               -                 -           -
                  8          43.85              60.29    16.44           37.49
                  12              -                 -           -

                                                                           60
                                            67.76%


                                           B               C      D=C-B       E=D/B×100%
                          13                -               -          -
                          14                -               -          -
                          15                -               -          -
                          16                -               -          -
                          17         5,322.19        5,932.02    609.83             11.46
                          18                -               -          -
                          23                -               -          -
                          24      13,464.86      14,162.45       697.59              5.18
                          25         5,273.58        5,273.58          -                  -
                          26         3,860.00        3,554.00   -306.00             -7.93
                          27         9,133.58        8,827.58   -306.00             -3.35
                          28         4,331.28        5,334.87   1,003.59           23.17



                                                                   1,003.59




 1                                2.91


 2                15.93


 3                        16.44


 4                -                                    609.83


     (   )


                               DCF


2014         3   31                             4,331.28


                                                                                     61
                          67.76%

                    17665.40                    13334.11
      307.86 %


1
                                              17665.40
                                   5,334.87              12330.53
          231.13%
(1)




(2)




2




                                                17665.40




                                                              62
       67.76%




                5-10
2015




                 63